Over time, the value of the Canadian dollar, sometimes known as a “loonie,” has experienced significant swings in value. Its background is an interesting patchwork of domestic and international politics, economic policy initiatives, and the market’s natural traits. Foreign currency market traders can gain a lot of insight by investigating the causes of these price fluctuations. While a forex broker can give you up-to-the-minute analysis and forecasts, it can be helpful to look at historical data to get a sense of how things have evolved.
The loonie’s origins can be traced back to the early 1970s, with the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system that had pegged numerous currencies to the gold standard. There is currently a floating exchange rate for the Canadian dollar. Then, in the 1970s, the oil crisis shook the world. The increased price of oil helped the Canadian dollar, as Canada is a major exporter of oil. This was the first indication for market participants that the currency was susceptible to changes in commodity prices.
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The bursting of the dot-com boom in the late 1990s and early 2000s sent shockwaves through the international financial system. Canadian dollars fared better than the rest of the major currencies. Canada fared quite well through the crisis thanks to its more conservative banking system and laws. This demonstrated the importance of researching a country’s monetary system to traders.
The middle of the new millennium saw the next significant event in the loonie’s history. Commodity prices as a whole rose, but oil prices soared. In 2007, Canada’s dollar reached parity with the US dollar on the back of this trend. However, the global economic collapse of 2008 was predicted by this occurrence. During the meltdown, the value of the loonie plummeted along with that of many other currencies. Is there any silver lining here? The economy’s quicker-than-expected rebound in Canada has boosted consumer confidence.
The strong connection between the CAD and oil prices has been further illuminated in recent years. In 2014 and 2015, as the price of oil dropped by more than half, the Canadian dollar lost a lot of ground against other major currencies. Those who understood the correlation between the Canadian currency and oil prices would have been ahead of the game even without the assistance of a seasoned broker.
So, what insight can investors glean from this review of market history? First and foremost, the remarkable correlation between the CAD and oil prices is between commodities. If you keep a watch on commodity markets around the world, you can get a sense of where the loonie might be headed. Second, Canada’s economic and banking systems have traditionally acted as safety valves during times of international financial unrest. Traders might do well in times of market volatility if they were aware of this resilience.
The value of variety is also emphasized. Just like Canada’s economy is not only dependent on oil, traders should diversify their portfolios to protect themselves against market swings. Building a varied and well-balanced portfolio might be a daunting task, but with the help of a reliable broker, it is possible.
Finally, while history is instructive, it is not necessarily predictive of the future. The foreign exchange market is notoriously volatile because of its inherent unpredictability. Instead than relying solely on predictions, traders could use the perspective that history provides.
The history of the Canadian dollar’s rise and fall is a goldmine of data for analysts and traders. The forex market dances to the tune of global events and underlying economic dynamics, showcasing the intricate web of factors that determine currency exchange rates. While a knowledgeable forex broker can assist you make judgments in the here-and-now, understanding the market’s historical trends can provide you a fuller picture.